KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4.9% 94%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
6 k €
Liquidité
4,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
16.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
17 sept. 26, 16:30 UTC13 janv. 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiInflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.2% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.4% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
InflationKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 265,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 76,3 k €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 157,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 36,4 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-4.5pt61.4%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.5pt18.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+4.4pt17.8%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+4.0pt83.2%
- No-4.0pt16.8%
- Volume total
- 33,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 31,4 k €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-0.5pt41%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+4.5pt24%
- Hike–Hike–Hike-5.0pt20%
+6 résultats de plus
- Owners' equivalent rent for September 2026
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI core in October
- September Inflation US - Annual
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- September Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI core in September
- CPI month-over-month in Sep 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) ?
- Kalshi cote Above 4.9% à 94% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) doit être résolu le 13 janvier 2027.
- Comment Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.