KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Exactly 4.0% 8%+6.0ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,8 k €
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
17 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC13 janv. 27, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
InflationKALSHICPI core in September
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 41,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,7 k €
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 299,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,5 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt60%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.7pt21%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt17%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 176,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3 k €
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%+5.0pt38%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above-4.0pt37%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below-5.0pt6%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-6.5pt35%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+3.0pt26.2%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+3.0pt22.3%
+6 résultats de plus
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- CPI in October
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026
- Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- September Inflation US - Annual
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 ?
- Kalshi cote Exactly 4.0% à 8% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 doit être résolu le 13 janvier 2027.
- Comment CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.