PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
≤1.9% 49.5%+1.6ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
356,4 €
Liquidité
3,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
0.1 pt
Spread serréComments
1
Variation 7j
+0.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
17 juin 26, 23:3222 janv. 27, 23:59
Tendances
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
- The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
- For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- 6,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 106,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,6 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote ≤1.9% à 50% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 doit être résolu le 22 janvier 2027.
- Comment Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).