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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the Citrini scenario happen?
Will the Citrini scenario happen?

Will the Citrini scenario happen?

InflationOne-OffÉconomieEquities2a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 29%
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

1,4 €

Liquidité

1,7 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

29.0% / 30.0%

Spread

3.5%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

25 févr. 26, 15:001 juil. 28, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes29%

Règles

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Marchés Associés

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

54,1 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

40 €
Above 4.0%: 50%KalshiKALSHI
State of the economy at the end of 2026

State of the economy at the end of 2026

8,7 €
Stagflation: 32%KalshiKALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

3 €
Overheating: 45%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22,1 k €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
June Inflation US - Annual

June Inflation US - Annual

3,1 k €
4.1%: 23%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%

Actualités Associées

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskSpaceX Price Prediction: Will IPO Hype Justify a Multi-Trillion Dollar Valuation?Blockchain ReporterU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindeskWhy the crypto crash has nothing to do with the stock marketCrypto News

Règles

If at least 3 of: unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS) S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50% CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

Kalshi
  • occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.