KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,2 k €
Liquidité
197,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
8.6 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
19 mars 26, 16:0014 févr. 27, 13:29
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1 M €
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 résultats de plus
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How high will inflation get this year? ?
- Kalshi cote At least 4.5% à 26% au 23 août 2026.
- Quand How high will inflation get this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How high will inflation get this year? doit être résolu le 14 février 2027.
- Comment How high will inflation get this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où How high will inflation get this year? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.