KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 95%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
17 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.0% / 5.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 avr. 26, 16:00 UTC10 déc. 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data.
- The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,8 k €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 187,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,1 k €
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 résultats de plus
- September Inflation China - Annual
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- CPI core in September
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- CPI core in November 2026
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- September Inflation US - Monthly
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 95% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? doit être résolu le 10 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.