PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
1.6 to 1.8% 42.3%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
60,6 €
Liquidité
2,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
11 sept. 26, 15:31 UTC13 oct. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
Polymarket🥈 Fun With Silver: The Monthly Shopping Cart.
Manifold MarketsRègles
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
- This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
- The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 128,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Argentina Monthly Inflation - September ?
- Polymarket cote 1.6 to 1.8% à 42% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Argentina Monthly Inflation - September sera-t-il résolu ?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September doit être résolu le 13 octobre 2026.
- Comment Argentina Monthly Inflation - September est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
- Où Argentina Monthly Inflation - September est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.