PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOctober Meeting 43%+4.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,2 €
Liquidité
71,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.8% / 0.9%
Spread
12.5%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
31 mars 26, 21:3929 oct. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Résultat choisi
October Meeting43%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Next Fed rate hike?
1.0%6mo
-1.0%52%
2%
+3.0%70%
+1 résultats de plus
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenne
Volume total13,6 k €
Volume 24h181,6 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
- Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
- Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.