Probabilité implicite actuelle
$7.000+ 56.6%-5.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
761,4 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
19.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
+4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
3 avr. 26, 15:13 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Trump suspension of Tariffs on ground beef be fully implemented and last the announce 90 day time period
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in December?
Manifold MarketsHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release.
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart.
- If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
- The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
2 plateformes cotent actuellement ce marché. La probabilité de référence pondérée par la liquidité de CoinRithm pour $7.000+ est de 53%. Les cotations s'écartent d'environ 6 points de pourcentage entre les plateformes extrêmes.
Référence CoinRithm $7.000+ 53% · 2 plateformes · 6 pt d’ecart entre venues
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote $7.000+ à 57% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112).
- Où Will ground beef hit __ in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Limitless.