PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Below 4.76% 77%+3.5ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,5 k €
Liquidité
5,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
3 sept. 26, 01:05 UTC30 sept. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Polymarket10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026.
- If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
