KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore 2027 67%-3.0%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
100 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
10 k €
Liquidité
1,4 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
67.0% / 68.0%
Spread
1.5%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
19 mars 25, 23:301 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before 202767%
Grosses transactions
$1.9k57.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes-9 j
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes-9 j$2.4k54.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes-9 j
KALSHIBefore 2027 — Yes-9 j$1.2k57.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-10 j
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-10 j$1.6k55.0%KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-10 j
KALSHIBefore 2027 — No-10 j$1.1k29.0%KALSHIBefore July 2027 — No-12 j
KALSHIBefore July 2027 — No-12 jTendance du volume
$11.4k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5 k €Oui: 72%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
45,7 k €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,7 k €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
27,7 k €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8 k €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.