KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleHike >25bps 3%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
232,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
2.0% / 3.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
29 sept. 25, 14:0016 sept. 26, 17:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Hike >25bps3%
Comparer les plateformes· Hike 25bps
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global93% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 54% | — | 35,9 k € | 517,9 k € | il y a 21 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 49% | — | 1,6 k € | 232,7 k € | il y a 21 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Fed Decision in September?
1mo
54%
41%
-0.1%4%
+2 résultats de plus
100 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total3,8 M €
Volume 24h35,9 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$2.6k41.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthteller-16 h
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yestruthteller-16 h$1.5k97.0%KALSHIHike >25bps — Nohier
KALSHIHike >25bps — Nohier$1.1k53.2%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahavant-hier
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheEmprahavant-hier$2.0k44.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaul-5 j
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesTheReturnOfDarthMaul-5 j$2.1k96.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefung-9 j
POLYMARKETWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — NoConstancefung-9 j$3.0k61.0%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRisk-10 j
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — YesDancewithRisk-10 j$1.8k38.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgil-12 j
POLYMARKETWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? — YesBurgil-12 j$1.1k59.8%POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970-17 j
POLYMARKETWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? — Yeshowesr1970-17 jTendance du volume
$1.8k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
6,4 €Fed maintains rate: 57%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Jan 2028?
0 €Cut >25bps: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2027?
0 €Cut >25bps: 68%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.