KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hike 25bps 54.4%+2.0ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1,2 M €
Liquidité
27 M €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
29 sept. 25, 14:00 UTC16 sept. 26, 17:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Fed decision in September? · 25+ bps increase 52%
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Hike 25bps 51%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Hike 25bps 51%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · 25 bps increase 50%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 53%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · 25 bps increase 54%
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 29,4 k €
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed decision in Sep 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Hike 25bps à 54% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Fed decision in Sep 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed decision in Sep 2026? doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment Fed decision in Sep 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Fed decision in Sep 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Polymarket, Limitless.