KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 2.75% 99%En tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
29,4 k €
Liquidité
823,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
6 août 25, 14:30 UTC16 sept. 26, 17:55 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
- This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Sep 16, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.50% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.75% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 2.75% à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? doit être résolu le 16 septembre 2026.
- Comment Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.