Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2027 26%-2.0%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,6 k €
Liquidité
204,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
13.6%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
11 févr. 26, 1:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Jan 1, 202726%
Grosses transactions
$6.8k95.0%
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No-5 j
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — No-5 jTendance du volume
$5.2k2 juil.25j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
6,8 k €Before Jul 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,7 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
149,8 €Before 2027: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
91,4 €Judy Shelton: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
0 €Kevin Warsh: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
0 €Oui: 71%FUTUUR
FUTUURActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.