KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 31, 2028 67%+39.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
6,9 k €
Liquidité
146,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.8 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
11 févr. 26, 01:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketJerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsWho will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
KalshiRègles
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCofficial government websites relevant to
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 543,5 k €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 31, 2028 à 67% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.