PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%+1.1pt
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
23,6 €
Liquidité
25,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.0% / 5.7%
Écart
2.7 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-1.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
12 janv. 26, 16:44 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Jerome Powell federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?
Manifold MarketsDouble digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
KalshiJerome Powell out of Fed Board by which date?
PolymarketWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.