Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 6%
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
375,5 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
75.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 minutes
10 juil. 26, 22:2431 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes6%
Tendance du volume
$911 juil.9j de données22 juil.
Marchés Associés
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,1 k €SpaceX: 86%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?
94,1 €Less than 40%: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
44 €0 (0 bps): 82.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
21,1 €2.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US semiconductor production growth in 2026?
0 €Above 8%: 97%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
0 €Up: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
- Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company.
- A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
- Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.