Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète24 mai 22, 05:51 UTC24 mai 32, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate at end of 2027
KalshiFed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves YES if the value of https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS on May 23 2032 is greater than 4%.
Marchés ouverts
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt43.3%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 35 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt2.4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.8pt4%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.4pt2%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.6pt91.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.1pt7.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt1%
+18 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed Decision in December?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%? doit être résolu le 24 mai 2032.
- Comment Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if the value of https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS on May 23 2032 is greater than 4%.