KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 0.00% 98%En tête parmi 18 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
13,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
6 oct. 25, 14:00 UTC27 janv. 27, 18:55 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?
KalshiFed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?
KalshiWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve Board of Governors
- This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jan 27, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.25% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.50% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 1.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+10.0pt63.4%
- No change-9.0pt35.6%
- 50+ bps increase+0.3pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,4 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+7.0pt62.4%
- Fed maintains rate-10.0pt34.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 37,4 M €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt58.1%
- Fed maintains rate35.8%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2.3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 384,1 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+1.4pt6%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.6pt1%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHIFed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Above 3.50%99%
- Above 2.75%99%
- Above 3.00%99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 80,4 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+4.5pt70%
- September Meeting+8.0pt63%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Fed Decision in October?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Fed decision in September?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 0.00% à 98% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? doit être résolu le 27 janvier 2027.
- Comment Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 0.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.