PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
0.4% 29.7%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
11 sept. 26, 15:28 UTC15 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
September Inflation US - Annual
PolymarketSeptember Inflation China - Annual
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.8% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.4% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.6% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiRègles
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 128,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour September Inflation US - Monthly ?
- Polymarket cote 0.4% à 30% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand September Inflation US - Monthly sera-t-il résolu ?
- September Inflation US - Monthly doit être résolu le 15 octobre 2026.
- Comment September Inflation US - Monthly est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).