Will inflation in the US rise above 10% at some point during the second Trump presidency?
CustomInflationPolitique américaineMacro et économie2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 58 minutes
En retard17 avr. 25, 16:18 UTC20 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Resolution will be based on CPI-U, specifically the unadjusted percent change of 'All items' in the Bureau of Labor Statistics news releases for each individual rolling 12 month period beginning from the 12 months ended February 2025.
- (e.g. if April 2024 to April 2025 shows higher than 10%, then this market resolves YES, same with May 2024 to May 2025, etc. all the way through ending at Jan 2028 to Jan 2029).
- example here: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm
- If the US Bureau of Labor Statistics doesn't make it through this period unscathed or without political pressure being applied to it, alternative sources will be found.
