Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète1 sept. 26, 15:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
PolymarketDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiExxonMobil Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiChevron Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.
- The market resolves NO if no such monthly CPI reading is reported during that period.
- The resolution source will be the official CPI data published by INDEC.
- The relevant figure is the monthly percentage change in the National CPI, not year-over-year inflation.
- A reported value of exactly 1.0% does not qualify; the reported monthly inflation rate must be strictly below 1.0%.
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 128,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 29 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.