KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 2.4% (45%)
Résolu: 14 oct. 2026, 14:01
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 14 oct. 2026, 12:12 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 2.3%82%
Above 3.3%1%
Above 2.4%45%
Above 2.6%1%
Above 2.5%12%
Above 2.1%Perdu
Above 2.2%Perdu
Above 2.3%Perdu
Above 2.4%Gagné
Above 2.5%Perdu
Above 2.6%Perdu
Above 2.7%Perdu
Above 2.8%Perdu
Above 2.9%Perdu
Above 3.0%Perdu
Above 3.1%Perdu
Above 3.2%Perdu
Above 3.3%Perdu
Above 3.4%Perdu
Above 3.5%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Core CPI YoY in November
KalshiCore CPI YoY in December
KalshiWill September 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsUS Core PCE inflation (month-over-month) — September
FutuurUS Core PCE inflation (year-over-year) — September
FutuurPoland: Will CPI inflation in Poland exceed X% throughout 2026 (CPI YoY)?
Manifold MarketsActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.2% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.3% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.4% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
