KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% 18%En tête parmi 12 options
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
29 k €
Liquidité
24,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
13 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC14 oct. 26, 12:25 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiWill September 2026 headline PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsHeadline PCE inflation in Aug 2026
KalshiWill core CPI be above headline CPI in September?
KalshiIn What Year will the Costco Hotdog Combo cost more than $1.50?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, Headline refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items, and Core refers to the single-decimal month-over-month percent change in CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Headline CPI MoM and Core CPI MoM each use ECONSTAT.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 128,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 M €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- 8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 95,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+0.5pt20.8%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
- Cut–Pause–Cut-0.4pt0%
+6 résultats de plus
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core ?
- Kalshi cote Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2% à 18% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core sera-t-il résolu ?
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core doit être résolu le 14 octobre 2026.
- Comment September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If ALL of the following occur for Sep 2026: the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Kalshi.