KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 0.0% 96%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2 k €
Liquidité
36,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
24 juin 26, 14:00 UTC30 oct. 26, 12:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q1 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q2 2027?
KalshiWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExRègles
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
- The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
- Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — US GDP growth in Q3 2026 · More than 3.0% 44%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — US GDP growth in Q3 2026? · ≥3.0% 35%
Marchés ouverts
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 90,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 358,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 554,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8 k €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes-1.0pt23%
- Volume total
- 314,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 11 k €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.3%+1.0pt98%
- Above -0.4%97%
- Above -0.2%+1.0pt96%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 76 k €
- Volume 24h
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession this year?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Unemployment in September
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Above 0.0% à 96% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? doit être résolu le 30 octobre 2026.
- Comment US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où US real GDP growth in Q3 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Polymarket.