KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k 15%En tête parmi 12 options
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k 15%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
11,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50kÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
2 oct. 26, 18:30 UTC6 nov. 26, 13:29 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Medicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be at full employment in December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in US Payroll Employment exceed -182,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill November 2026 U.S. nonfarm payroll employment increase by at least 150,000?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExWill Canada's Unemployment Rate exceed 6.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Labor market) (Employment) (Layoffs)?
ForecastExRègles
If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- For all outcomes in this market, U3 refers to the single-decimal seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3), and NFP growth refers to the seasonally adjusted over-the-month change in total nonfarm payroll employment, as reported in thousands of jobs by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U3 uses ECONSTAT and NFP growth uses PAYROLLS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Règles de chaque résultat
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.3%, NFP growth: 100k or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: Below 50k, then the market resolves to Yes.
- U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k
- If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.4% or above, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.
