KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle1.1% to 1.5% 13%-0.8%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
28 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1 €
Liquidité
1,4 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
13.6% / 17.2%
Spread
26.5%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
14 janv. 26, 15:0028 févr. 27, 13:29
Tendances
Résultat choisi
1.1% to 1.5%13%
Également disponible sur Polymarket
GDP growth in 2026
0.7%7mo
+2.0%45%
19%
-1.0%17%
+3 résultats de plus
40 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total26 k €
Volume 24h0 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Règles
If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2026.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2026 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2026 GDP in early 2027.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.