KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle1.6% to 2.0% 10%-7.0%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
9,6 €
Liquidité
62,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
7.1%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
8 juin 26, 20:0028 févr. 28, 13:29
Tendances
Résultat choisi
1.6% to 2.0%10%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2028?
5 €2.1% to 2.5%: 16%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2029?
3,3 €5.1% to 5.5%: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
US recession by end of 2026?
3,2 k €Oui: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Oui: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Règles
If the United States real GDP growth in 2027 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2027.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2027 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2027 GDP in early 2028.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.