KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle1.6% to 2.0% 14%+5.0%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,5 €
Liquidité
6,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 15.0%
Spread
50.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
8 juin 26, 21:0028 févr. 30, 13:29
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
1.6% to 2.0%14%
Tendance du volume
$423 juil.4j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
US real GDP growth in 2027?
1,8 €1.1% to 1.5%: 12%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2026?
0,6 €2.1% to 2.5%: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIUS real GDP growth in 2028?
0 €0.0% or Below: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,6 k €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Oui: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- All stated bounds are inclusive.
- For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.