PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelle5.0% 17%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
792,6 €
Liquidité
10 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.1% / 14.0%
Spread
38.6%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-3.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
2 janv. 26, 18:5631 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
5.0%17%
Marchés Associés
US recession by end of 2026?
3,2 k €Oui: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Oui: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.2%: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
96,2 €Oui: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
80,4 €Oui: 47.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026.
- This market may not resolve to “No” until the Employment Situation report for December 2026 is released.
- If no Employment Situation Report for December 2026 is released by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, however, this market will resolve at that time.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for each month.