Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
0.7 pts (24h)ÉconomieOne-Off5mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%-0.7pt
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
364 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
5.8% / 12.8%
Écart
7.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
+2.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
29 janv. 26, 21:20 UTC15 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market is the Labor Force Survey, published by Statistics Canada every month at https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm.
- Any revisions to the data after the first qualifying release will not count toward this market's resolution; only the initial figure released for each month will qualify.
- This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying release of data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
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+2 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
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+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 35,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 548,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
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- 10,7 k €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 310,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? doit être résolu le 15 février 2027.
- Comment Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (15 years and over, total) reported by Statistics Canada in the Labour Force Survey for any month of 2026 is higher than that of any other month since January 2017 (inclusive).