Prévision communautaire actuelle
Finland 45.4%-16.1ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+31.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
7 sept. 26, 08:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketWill any EU country or NATO stop sharing intelligence with the United States by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any EU country have an agreement with external countries to study asylum seeker applications abroad by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the EU member state that records the highest seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for the month of December 2026, as officially published by Eurostat.
- Source of Truth: The primary source of truth is the Eurostat database table "Unemployment rate (%) - monthly data" (dataset code: ei_lmhr_m) or the Eurostat news release for December 2026 unemployment rates, which will be accessible via the Eurostat Euro Indicators portal.
- Scope: Only the 27 official European Union member states are eligible.
- Non-EU countries (e.g., Iceland, Norway, Switzerland, United Kingdom) are excluded.
- Metric: Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (%) for the total population (both sexes, ages 15 to 74).
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 90,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 358,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 35,8 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 548,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 29,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,7 k €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 310,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5 k €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which EU country will have the highest unemployment rate? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Finland à 45% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which EU country will have the highest unemployment rate? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which EU country will have the highest unemployment rate? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Which EU country will have the highest unemployment rate? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria