Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 03:37 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 96.3%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard4 mai 23, 02:06 UTC1 janv. 27, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExColombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
KalshiRègles
Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19
- [image]This market will resolve to YES if this measure of Inflation- Unemployment Rate, as measured in the Fred is below -4% the next time the Federal Reserve cuts the baseline rates.
- I may bet on this market
- May 3, 11:08pm: Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below 4%? → Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
