KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Good Day 91%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 47 options
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,3 k €
Liquidité
9,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
16 sept. 26, 22:00 UTC29 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says the named outcome at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Federal Reserve
- How this is resolved Video of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
Marchés ouverts
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 935,7 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,5 M €
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September
- Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decision in October?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? ?
- Kalshi cote Good Day à 91% au 19 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? doit être résolu le 29 octobre 2026.
- Comment What will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says the named outcome at his Oct 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.