PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 99%+1.1pt
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
284 €
Liquidité
7,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 1.4%
Écart
0.4 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-5.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
24 juil. 26, 16:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to serve a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,8 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,6 k €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 99% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.