KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 1, 2028 15%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
17,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
22 juil. 26, 15:26 UTC1 sept. 26, 13:27 UTC
Tendances
15%
12%
2%
1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
PolymarketWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.5%
- No change43.6%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 74,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.8%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt45.8%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,8 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate43.3%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,5 k €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase67.3%
- No change30.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.5pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 1, 2028 à 15% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? doit être résolu le 1 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President of the United States has tried to fire the Chair of the Federal Reserve the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.