KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jan 1, 2030 9%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
2,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
22 juil. 26, 15:351 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Jan 1, 20272%
Comparer les plateformes· Before Jan 1, 2030
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global86% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 9% | — | 222,8 € | 31,3 k € | il y a 4 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 9% | — | 0 € | 2,8 k € | il y a 24 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Warsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
5mo
9%
5%
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total4,7 k €
Volume 24h222,8 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2522 juil.6j de données27 juil.
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Fed rate hike by which date?
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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
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If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kevin Warsh must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.