KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore 2027 10%+0.1%
Qualite du marche
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
149,8 €
Liquidité
115,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
5.9% / 9.5%
Spread
61.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
12 janv. 26, 15:001 janv. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before 202710%
Tendance du volume
$1702 juil.19j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
6,8 k €Before Jul 1, 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again?
0 €Before Aug 1, 2026: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?
0 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any Fed governor leave office in 2026?
0 €Oui: 93%FUTUUR
FUTUURWill Lisa Cook leave the office of Federal Reserve governor in 2026?
0 €Oui: 13%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
0 €Cheryl Venable: 5.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraphPolymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as either Chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
- The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
- The following do NOT qualify:
- Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
- This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.