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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Fed
  3. Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

FedOne-OffPolitiqueUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027
Before 2027 13%
En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

1,7 k €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

13.0% / 16.0%

Spread

23.1%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

12 janv. 26, 15:001 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Before 202713%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

1.6%6mo
December 31
December 31
-2.5%21%
June 30
June 30
-1.6%4%
44 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total14,3 k €
Volume 24h37,8 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

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49,2 €
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Kevin Warsh: 88%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

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Règles

If the President of the United States has tried to fire Jerome Powell as Chair or Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A "try to fire" includes any of the following:
  • The President signs an executive order, memorandum, or other official document stating termination; Directs any Cabinet member or senior official to terminate the person; Publicly states (in a speech, interview, press conference, or verified social media) that he has fired or decided to fire the person; The White House officially announces termination; Sends written communication to the person informing them of termination; Initiates formal legal proceedings for removal
  • The following do NOT qualify:
  • Statements that the person "should" resign or be fired; Expressions of dissatisfaction; Asking or pressuring for voluntary resignation; Stating the President is "looking into" whether he can fire the person; Statements by other officials unless directed by the President; Unsent letters ordering termination
  • This market resolves on the President's attempt to fire, not on whether such attempt is legally valid, successful, or results in the person leaving office.