Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by which date?
0.2 pts (24h)FedOne-OffUS Politics3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 10%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
43 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
36,1 €
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.3 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
16 avr. 26, 16:58 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
