PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 21%-2.5%
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
37,8 €
Liquidité
12,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.2% / 5.9%
Spread
168.2%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.7%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
16 avr. 26, 17:0331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
December 3121%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
6mo
13%
1%
1%
28 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total3,3 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?
49,2 €Trump: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many government employees will Trump cut?
0,1 €More than 100,000: 42%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?
2,9 k €Rate / Cut: 94%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
165,3 k €0 (0: 79%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
88,2 k €Oui: 1%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto News
Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto News
Former Epstein assistant Lesley Groff appears before House panel Crypto News
Trump adviser Patrick Witt backs sweeping crypto tax billsCrypto News
U.S. judge blocks Trump’s $100,000 H-1B visa fee after state challengeCrypto News
Trump walks out of interview after clash over election fraud claims Crypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.