PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 40%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
4,6 €
Liquidité
1,8 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
17 sept. 26, 15:56 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiTrump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiBrazil 2026 Election: Will Donald Trump publicly endorse any presidential candidate in either round?
Manifold MarketsHow many more times will Trump publicly praise Allah in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk and Donald Trump publicly support different candidates in any 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe.
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3 k €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 résultats de plus
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 40,8 k €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume total
- 61,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,6 k €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 40% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.