Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.6%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 26, 06:59 UTC1 janv. 31, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.4% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReal GDP will grow by less than 3.5% in the US in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam's real GDP grow by at least 12% in 2026
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2030?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Mexico's real GDP growth for the full calendar year 2026 is reported as 1.6% or greater by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI).
- Otherwise, it resolves to "NO."
- The resolution will be based on the official final or revised annual GDP data published by INEGI (https://www.inegi.org.mx/).
- If the official annual report is not available by November 1, 2027, the market will resolve based on the most recent, reputable data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank.
Marchés ouverts
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 97,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 702,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 400 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 34,5 k €
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,3 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 4,9 k €
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria