Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
InflationOne-OffMacro et économieÉconomie3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 65%
Oui 65%Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard7 nov. 24, 22:17 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsWill 2025 be referred to as the start of the second Great Depression?
Manifold MarketsWorld gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This question will be resolved based on official U.S. economic data, focusing specifically on annual real GDP growth (adjusted for inflation).
- The question will resolve as “Yes” if real GDP growth for any full calendar year exceeds 5% between the years 2024 and 2029, inclusive.
- Otherwise, it will resolve as “No” if no such year exhibits this level of growth by the end of 2029.
- Specific Criteria
- Data Source:
- • The resolution will use official data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) or another recognized authoritative economic body.
