KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2.1% to 2.5% 10%-10.0ptEn tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,7 €
Liquidité
6,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
28 juil. 26, 00:00 UTC28 févr. 33, 13:29 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US real GDP growth in 2026?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2033?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2034?
KalshiWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2027?
KalshiUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiRègles
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.3%98%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 266,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 76,4 k €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 93,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 157,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 35,3 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes-1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 12,3 k €
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt90.1%
- Yes-2.0pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 12,1 k €
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
- Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Recession in 2027?
- CPI core in October
- CPI core in September
- Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US real GDP growth in 2032? ?
- Kalshi cote 2.1% to 2.5% à 10% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand US real GDP growth in 2032? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US real GDP growth in 2032? doit être résolu le 28 février 2033.
- Comment US real GDP growth in 2032? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.