KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 4.9% 98%+5.0ptEn tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,7 k €
Liquidité
2,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
15 sept. 26, 15:35 UTC19 oct. 26, 01:55 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the China unemployment rate is above 4.8% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Trading Economics
- If the China unemployment rate is above 4.9% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.0% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.1% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.2% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the China unemployment rate is above 5.3% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 247,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 79,4 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volume total
- 3,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 18,6 k €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 131,3 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 13,1 k €
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volume total
- 379,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,3 k €
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour China unemployment rate in September ?
- Kalshi cote Above 4.9% à 98% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand China unemployment rate in September sera-t-il résolu ?
- China unemployment rate in September doit être résolu le 19 octobre 2026.
- Comment China unemployment rate in September est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the China unemployment rate is above 4.8% for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.