Probabilité implicite actuelle
0-1.0% 50.5%-0.9ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
89,6 €
Liquidité
8,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+27.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
22 janv. 26, 00:32 UTC31 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketUK Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketAre Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the quarter-over-quarter growth rate of Eurozone GDP exceed 0% in Q4 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
- Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market.
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 91 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 569,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 359,2 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,4 k €
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-8.0pt86%
- Above -4.0% of GDP+1.0pt51%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-3.0pt22%
- Volume total
- 314,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5 k €
- CPI core in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- US recession by end of 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Recession this year?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 0-1.0% à 51% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.