Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 20:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
4.0–5.0% 89%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
39,8 €
Liquidité
76,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
17
Variation 7j
+0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 26, 23:2331 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”.
- The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
- If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Economy
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 381,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 54,3 k €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.8%99%
- Above 3.7%98%
- Above 3.9%-3.0pt92%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 360,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 49,3 k €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -100,00096%
- Above -75,000+2.0pt95%
- Above -50,000+1.0pt90%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 109,3 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 309,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 15,5 k €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No68%
- Yes+2.0pt32%
- Volume total
- 235,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,2 k €
POLYMARKETAugust Unemployment Rate
- 4.1%-0.5pt32.1%
- 4.2%+0.5pt32.1%
- 4.0%+3.5pt16%
+6 résultats de plus
- How many jobs added in August?
- Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
- Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Recession this year?
- Recession this year?
- CPI in August
- Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q2 2026
- GDP growth in 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour China Annual GDP Growth 2026 ?
- Polymarket cote 4.0–5.0% à 89% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand China Annual GDP Growth 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026 doit être résolu le 31 janvier 2027.
- Comment China Annual GDP Growth 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.