PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle0-1% 52.4%-1.5ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
15 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
54.0% / 55.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+11.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
22 janv. 26, 15:2812 févr. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
0-1%55%
Tendance du volume
$1.3k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,2 k €Above 3.2%: 89%
KALSHI
KALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?
7,4 k €0.1% to 0.5%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Recession this year?
2,7 k €Oui: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,8 k €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
438,5 €Oui: 2.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
394,7 €Oui: 16.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
This market will resolve according to the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 (% change) in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for October-December (Q4) of 2026, scheduled for February 12, 2027.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
- The estimate of UK real GDP across the year of 2026 is an estimate of the rate at which real GDP changed, on average, throughout the year of 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in “Table 1: Headline national accounts indicators for the UK” under “GDP (Chained Volume Measures)” for the relevant year, or elsewhere in the release.
- If no data for the estimate of UK real gross domestic product (GDP) across the year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the rate at which UK real gross domestic product (GDP) changed in Q4 compared with the same quarter of the previous year.