PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleShutdown & Democratic 81%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
4,5 €
Liquidité
36,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
80.9% / 81.7%
Spread
1.0%
Spread serréVariation 7j
-0.1%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
9 déc. 25, 18:553 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
Shutdown & Democratic81%
Marchés Associés
US recession by end of 2026?
3,2 k €Oui: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
792,6 €5.0%: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
259,9 €Oui: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSJune Unemployment Rate
134,5 €4.3%: 30%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?
134,1 €2.6% to 3.0%: 11%
KALSHI
KALSHIWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
80,4 €Oui: 47.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Règles
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether there will be another US government shutdown by January 31 (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?).
- The rules and resolution criteria are as follows:
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? This market will resolve according to whether the U.S.
- Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces another federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.
- The resolution source for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).