If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
ÉconomieOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2-3% 35.5%En tête parmi 9 options
2-3% 35.5%Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard1 sept. 24, 21:43 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsUS real GDP growth in 2028?
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KalshiRègles
Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth.
- Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
- This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
- If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank.
- Otherwise, this will resolve N/A. Corresponding question for Harris: