If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
ÉconomieOne-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2-3% 35.5%En tête parmi 9 options
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14
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
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Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète1 sept. 24, 21:43 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurUS real GDP growth in 2028?
KalshiUS nominal GDP growth in 2028
KalshiRègles
Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth.
- Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
- This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
- If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank.
- Otherwise, this will resolve N/A. Corresponding question for Harris:
