PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 21 août 2026, 17:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
0.0%–0.8% 26.5%+1.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
191,5 €
Liquidité
6,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
3.0 pt
Spread modéréComments
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
17 août 26, 19:3516 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
- The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent.
- Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? ?
- Polymarket cote 0.0%–0.8% à 27% au 21 août 2026.
- Quand Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? doit être résolu le 16 novembre 2026.
- Comment Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026.
