PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
3.0% 25.7%+0.6ptEn tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
4,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneSpread
1.3 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
+13.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
23 janv. 26, 16:2015 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
- The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”.
- Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
- The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
- If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook.
- If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Marchés ouverts
Economy
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs97%
- Above 450,000 jobs-2.0pt93%
- Above 452,500 jobs+1.0pt84%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 51,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,4 k €
POLYMARKETEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- 0.8-1.1%-9.0pt49.5%
- 0.4-0.7%-7.0pt31.6%
- 1.2-1.5%-1.3pt9.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 120,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+1.0pt9%
- Volume total
- 218,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3 k €
KALSHIJobs numbers in Aug 2026?
- Above -25,000-3.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 117,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- How many jobs added in August?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in August
- US recession by end of 2026?
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in August
- Recession this year?
- US economic state at the end of 2026?
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 2026 World GDP Growth ?
- Polymarket cote 3.0% à 26% au 26 août 2026.
- Quand 2026 World GDP Growth sera-t-il résolu ?
- 2026 World GDP Growth doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2027.
- Comment 2026 World GDP Growth est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.